Succession Holding LLC

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Succession Weekly Brief

Mobile Home Park Deal Anatomy: Why Lot-Rent-to-Market Is the Value-Add Independent Owners Miss

Most independent real estate investors who have looked at mobile home parks have made the same mistake: they compared the monthly lot rent to what they pay on their own mortgage and concluded the deal does not pencil. That is the wrong lens. The right lens is the gap between the lot rent the park is currently charging and the market lot rent for comparable pads in the same submarket. That gap, multiplied by occupancy, capitalized at the market cap rate, is the entire net present value story. And it is a story that is easier to underwrite than almost any other value-add real estate play.

This brief opens the hood on a 40-pad mobile home park deal. It walks through the income capitalization formula that governs MHP valuations, shows how lot-rent-to-market drives NOI and why that matters more than the headline rent number, explains why pad-level infrastructure costs make this a different animal from a standard apartment acquisition, and gives the specific leverage point that most independent buyers have over institutional buyers on these deals.

Section 1: Today's Lens — The Income Cap Rate Is the Whole Game in Mobile Home Parks

Mobile home parks are not valued like apartment buildings. The difference is structural, and understanding it is the difference between spotting a deal and walking away from one.

Apartment buildings are valued primarily on a per-unit or per-square-foot basis relative to replacement cost, with cap rate as a secondary check. Appraisers and lenders look at comparable sales, replacement cost minus depreciation, and income approach roughly in that order of weight. The cap rate is real, but it is not the primary driver of value in most markets.

Mobile home parks are valued almost entirely on income. There is no meaningful replacement cost analogy for a 40-pad park with city water and sewer connections and paved drives — pad infrastructure costs vary widely by market and scope (obtain current contractor estimates), which means a stabilized park is almost never new construction. The comparable sales approach is constrained because MHP transactions are relatively infrequent and each park is idiosyncratic. What drives the value is the income capitalization approach, full stop: the park is worth what the net operating income, divided by the market cap rate, says it is worth.

The formula is straightforward: Value equals NOI divided by the cap rate. For a mobile home park, NOI equals gross potential income minus vacancy loss minus operating expenses. The single most important line item in gross potential income is the lot rent. For a 40-pad park with market lot rent of $350 per month and 80 percent occupancy, the gross potential income is $350 times 40 pads times 12 months, or $168,000. At 80 percent economic occupancy, actual income is $134,400. Operating expenses for a well-run park in a secondary midwestern market vary by park and market — underwrite from actual trailing expenses. At 40 percent, that is $67,200 in expenses, leaving an NOI of $67,200.

At a 7.5 percent assumed market cap rate for a secondary market value-add park — verify the current range with recent comparable sales, since value-add MHP cap rates vary by market — that $67,200 NOI produces a valuation of $896,000. If the lot rent is currently $225 instead of $350, the difference is $125 per pad per month, or $60,000 per year in additional gross potential income at full occupancy. At 80 percent occupancy and 40 percent expense ratio, that $60,000 in additional GPI produces roughly $36,000 in additional NOI. Capitalized at 7.5 percent, that is $480,000 of additional value at stabilization. The gap between current lot rent and market lot rent, across a park with 40 occupied pads, is a half-million-dollar value creation opportunity in plain arithmetic.

The reason this is not arbitraged away by institutional buyers is the same reason it is available to independent investors: most institutional buyers are not set up to operate mobile home parks at the pad level. The management intensity of an MHP is different from a standard apartment building. A 40-unit apartment building needs periodic unit turnovers, unit-level maintenance, and tenant management. A 40-pad MHP needs pad-level infrastructure maintenance, lot-rent collection, and the enforcement of community rules on homes the park does not own. Most institutional buyers either do not have the operating infrastructure for mobile home parks or have decided the segment does not fit their return targets at current entry prices. That creates the opening for independent buyers who are willing to do the pad-level work.

Financing an MHP acquisition is a distinct consideration that affects the deal structure independent buyers should pursue. Commercial banks and credit unions are the primary lenders for mobile home park acquisitions in the $500,000 to $2,000,000 range. The Small Business Administration 504 loan program is sometimes used for MHP acquisitions, but it generally requires owner-occupancy and eligible project types — verify MHP acquisition eligibility and terms with an SBA-approved CDC before relying on them. The 504 program's interest rates in 2026 have been tracking below conventional commercial loan rates, per SBA 504 loan rate reports published by Certified Development Companies. Some regional bank lenders specializing in manufactured housing will lend at 65 to 75 percent loan-to-value on a stabilized park with strong occupancy, with terms of 15 to 20 years amortized over 25 years. The independent buyer's advantage in financing is the ability to close on a deal that an institutional buyer passing on the segment altogether cannot pursue, even if the leverage profile is different from a standard apartment bridge loan.

Section 2: One Market, One Metric — Columbus, Ohio MHP Lot Rents and the Value-Add Gap

The Columbus, Ohio metro is a useful market for grounding the lot-rent-to-market analysis in real numbers. Columbus has a functioning MHP submarket with multiple parks across Franklin, Delaware, and Licking counties, lot rents that have been rising but remain below comparable midwestern metros, and enough transaction activity that market cap rate data is available.

Check the latest Census ACS data for current Franklin County median lot rents before underwriting (the 2024 ACS estimate was $345). The figure is consistent with what park operators and brokers in the Columbus MHP space report for market lot rent in desirable submarkets. Verify current Columbus-area park trades and going-in cap rates against recent comparable sales rather than relying on a fixed range.

The value-add opportunity in Columbus is the parks trading below that $345 median at 75 to 82 percent occupancy with lot rents in the $240 to $290 range. The path to value creation is straightforward: increase occupancy to market stabilization levels through lot-owner retention programs and targeted community investment, raise lot rent to the $320 to $350 range over an 18-to-24-month lease-up period, and sell or refinance at a lower cap rate once stabilized. The pad-rent-to-market value-add sequence — increasing occupancy to stabilization and raising lot rent to market over that lease-up period — can materially grow NOI for parks that execute the occupancy and rent improvement plan; results vary, so verify against actual operator results rather than relying on a specific growth range.

The Columbus-specific context that matters for independent buyers is that the metro has added population in the 25-to-44 age cohort over the past five years per Census Bureau population estimates, which is the demographic that both occupies mobile home communities and generates the household formation that drives demand for manufactured housing lots. The Columbus metro has generally grown in recent years, which provides a demand tailwind for lot-rent increases that does not depend on a rising macro market — verify current estimates in the latest Census data.

The Columbus metro also has a secondary characteristic that matters for MHP valuations: the presence of older parks with infrastructure from the 1970s and 1980s that has not been fully upgraded. Infrastructure age is a proxy for capital expenditure needs. A park with original water lines, clay tile sewer connections, or gravel drives is a park where the next owner will be making infrastructure investments that affect the cap rate calculation. The independent buyer who is willing to manage a capex plan — replacing failing water mains, paving drives, upgrading lot lighting — can price that work into the acquisition and recover it through higher lot rents and reduced vacancy as the park's physical condition improves. That is a different value-add path than the pure rent-to-market play, and it is one that requires hands-on oversight that institutional buyers typically price out of their return models.

Today's 5-Minute Action

Pull your state or county assessor records for any mobile home park you are evaluating. Search the county recorder website for the parcel ID or owner name. The assessor page will show the current assessed value, the current property tax bill, and the property class. The tax bill tells you the park's actual tax load. The assessed value divided by the county's assessment ratio (typically 35 to 40 percent in Ohio) gives you the estimated market value. Compare that to what the seller is asking. If the asking price is more than 15 percent above the assessor's estimated market value, the deal is priced at a premium that the value-add story needs to clear before you generate any equity return. If the assessor value is close to or above the asking price, the deal may have a motivated seller and room to negotiate.

The Columbus area assessor data is public at franklincountyauditor.com. Search any park address or parcel number. The page loads in under a minute and gives you the numbers you need before you sign a letter of intent.

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